Kalshi
Which Senate races will be within 1 point?
Nov 3, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Iowa at 19%, ahead of Michigan at 15%. $103 traded in the last 24 hours, $4K in all.
- Favorite
- Iowa 19%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $103
- Traded in all
- $4K
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 12)
- Iowa19%
- Michigan15%▲ 4
- Kansas14%▲ 4
- Texas14%
- Maine13%
- South Carolina12%
6 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:14 AM9:14 PM9:14 AM19% Iowa
The line follows the current favorite, Iowa. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
