Polymarket
Which Senate races will be within 5%?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Texas at 76%, ahead of Iowa at 72%. $2K traded in the last 24 hours, $87K in all.
- Favorite
- Texas 76%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $2K
- Traded in all
- $87K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 18)
- Texas76%
- Iowa72%▼ 0
- Kansas68%▼ 6
- Nebraska63%▲ 1
- Maine60%▼ 3
- Ohio (Special)58%▼ 10
12 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:29 AM4:29 PM4:29 AM76% Texas
The line follows the current favorite, Texas. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
