Kalshi
Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
Before 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Tennessee at 99%, ahead of California at 98%. $675 traded in the last 24 hours, $2.4M in all.
- Favorite
- Tennessee 99%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $675
- Traded in all
- $2.4M
- Closes
- November 1, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 25)
- Tennessee99%
- California98%
- Texas98%
- Ohio98%
- Louisiana98%▲ 1
- Florida97%▲ 5
19 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:53 AM10:53 PM10:53 AM99% Tennessee
The line follows the current favorite, Tennessee. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
