Polymarket
Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Alaska at 98%, ahead of North Carolina at 97%. $380 traded in the last 24 hours, $16K in all.
- Favorite
- Alaska 98%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $380
- Traded in all
- $16K
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 12)
- Alaska98%
- North Carolina97%▼ 2
- Georgia94%▲ 1
- Arizona94%▲ 1
- Iowa93%▲ 2
- Michigan93%
6 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:53 AM10:53 PM10:53 AM98% Alaska
The line follows the current favorite, Alaska. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 83%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.5% 92%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 22%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 73%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?2%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/5-10/11) 7 51%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
