Kalshi
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
During Trump's term
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Samuel Alito at 74%, ahead of Clarence Thomas at 49%. $5 traded in the last 24 hours, $107K in all.
- Favorite
- Samuel Alito 74%
- 24 hours
- up 2 pts
- Traded today
- $5
- Traded in all
- $107K
- Closes
- January 20, 2029
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- Samuel Alito74%▲ 2
- Clarence Thomas49%
- John Roberts20%
- Sonia Sotomayor10%
- Amy Coney Barrett5%
- Elena Kagan4%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:50 AM7:50 PM7:50 AM74% Samuel Alito
The line follows the current favorite, Samuel Alito. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 42%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
