Polymarket
Who will be arrested before 2027?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor John Brennan at 24%, ahead of Mahmoud Khalil at 19%. $1K traded in the last 24 hours, $477K in all.
- Favorite
- John Brennan 24%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $1K
- Traded in all
- $477K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 24)
- John Brennan24%
- Mahmoud Khalil19%▲ 2
- Lee Jun-seok12%▲ 1
- James Comey10%▼ 2
- Brandon Johnson10%
- Tom Homan9%
18 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:15 AM5:15 PM5:15 AM24% John Brennan
The line follows the current favorite, John Brennan. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 31%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
