Kalshi
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
Next Secretary of Defense
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor No other person at 46%, ahead of Joni Ernst at 6%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $36K in all.
- Favorite
- No other person 46%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $36K
- Closes
- January 20, 2029
Every outcome (top 6 of 17)
- No other person46%
- Joni Ernst6%
- Ron DeSantis6%
- Steve Feinberg6%
- Wesley Hunt4%
- Dan Driscoll4%
11 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%10:48 AM10:48 PM10:48 AM46% No other person
The line follows the current favorite, No other person. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 83%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.5% 92%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 22%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 73%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?2%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/5-10/11) 7 51%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
