Kalshi
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
before 2027
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Pete Hegseth at 26%, ahead of Doug Collins at 23%. $4K traded in the last 24 hours, $4.3M in all.
- Favorite
- Pete Hegseth 26%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $4K
- Traded in all
- $4.3M
- Closes
- December 31, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 30)
- Pete Hegseth26%
- Doug Collins23%▲ 7
- Susie Wiles20%
- Steve Witkoff19%
- Bill Pulte18%
- Kelly Loeffler18%▼ 1
24 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:43 AM3:43 PM3:43 AM26% Pete Hegseth
The line follows the current favorite, Pete Hegseth. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 31%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
