Polymarket
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Markwayne Mullin at 34%, ahead of Kristi Noem at 32%. $663 traded in the last 24 hours, $1.4M in all.
- Favorite
- Markwayne Mullin 34%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $663
- Traded in all
- $1.4M
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 16)
- Markwayne Mullin34%▲ 1
- Kristi Noem32%▲ 4
- Dan Scavino30%
- Pete Hegseth24%▲ 3
- Kash Patel20%▲ 1
- David Sacks19%▲ 6
10 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:37 AM2:37 PM2:37 AM34% Markwayne Mullin
The line follows the current favorite, Markwayne Mullin. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
