Kalshi
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
During Trump's term
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Pete Hegseth at 24%, ahead of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 23%. $1K traded in the last 24 hours, $224K in all.
- Favorite
- Pete Hegseth 24%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $1K
- Traded in all
- $224K
- Closes
- January 20, 2029
Every outcome (top 6 of 21)
- Pete Hegseth24%▼ 1
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.23%▼ 24
- Markwayne Mullin9%▲ 2
- Howard Lutnick8%
- Scott Bessent6%▼ 6
- Susie Wiles6%
15 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:05 AM6:05 PM6:05 AM24% Pete Hegseth
The line follows the current favorite, Pete Hegseth. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 31%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
