Polymarket
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor J.D. Vance at 50%, ahead of Marco Rubio at 23%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $21K in all.
- Favorite
- J.D. Vance 50%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $21K
- Closes
- November 7, 2028
Every outcome (top 6 of 21)
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio23%
- Donald Trump Jr.5%
- Eric Trump5%
- Donald Trump4%▼ 1
- Elon Musk3%
15 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:49 AM3:49 PM3:49 AM50% J.D. Vance
The line follows the current favorite, J.D. Vance. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 31%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.