Kalshi
Who will Trump pardon?
Before Jan 21, 2029
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Donald Trump Jr. at 78%, ahead of Jared Kushner at 60%. $2K traded in the last 24 hours, $429K in all.
- Favorite
- Donald Trump Jr. 78%
- 24 hours
- up 17 pts
- Traded today
- $2K
- Traded in all
- $429K
- Closes
- January 21, 2029
Every outcome (top 6 of 52)
- Donald Trump Jr.78%▲ 17
- Jared Kushner60%▲ 5
- Pete Hegseth54%▼ 1
- Eric Trump54%▼ 1
- Barron Trump50%▼ 5
- Donald Trump46%▼ 3
46 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:38 AM2:38 PM2:38 AM78% Donald Trump Jr.
The line follows the current favorite, Donald Trump Jr.. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 31%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
