Polymarket
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Donald Brodie at 30%, ahead of Stefan Brodie at 18%. $526 traded in the last 24 hours, $500K in all.
- Favorite
- Donald Brodie 30%
- 24 hours
- down 15 pts
- Traded today
- $526
- Traded in all
- $500K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 28)
- Donald Brodie30%▼ 15
- Stefan Brodie18%▼ 1
- Ryan Salame14%▲ 1
- Keonne Rodriguez13%
- Roger Ver12%▲ 3
- Matt Gaetz9%
22 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:10 AM9:10 PM9:10 AM30% Donald Brodie
The line follows the current favorite, Donald Brodie. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 83%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.3% 70%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 22%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
