Kalshi
Who will Trump pardon in 2026?
Before Jan 1, 2027
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Michael Cohen at 28%, ahead of Larry Householder at 18%. $95 traded in the last 24 hours, $535K in all.
- Favorite
- Michael Cohen 28%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $95
- Traded in all
- $535K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 34)
- Michael Cohen28%▲ 1
- Larry Householder18%
- Keonne Rodriguez14%
- Nicole Daedone13%
- Rachel Cherwitz11%
- John Kiriakou9%
28 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:43 AM7:43 PM7:43 AM28% Michael Cohen
The line follows the current favorite, Michael Cohen. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 42%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
