Polymarket
Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Byron Donalds at 97%, ahead of Kevin Warsh at 86%. $4K traded in the last 24 hours, $25K in all.
- Favorite
- Byron Donalds 97%
- 24 hours
- down 2 pts
- Traded today
- $4K
- Traded in all
- $25K
- Closes
- October 31, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 21)
- Byron Donalds97%▼ 2
- Kevin Warsh86%▼ 4
- Elon Musk73%▲ 2
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy69%
- Flávio Bolsonaro68%▲ 5
- Zohran Mamdani65%▲ 22
15 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:37 AM4:37 PM4:37 AM97% Byron Donalds
The line follows the current favorite, Byron Donalds. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 31%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.