Kalshi
Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026?
construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C.
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi give it a 61% chance. $150 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.
- Chance of Yes
- 61%
- 24 hours
- down 6 pts
- Traded today
- $150
- Traded in all
- $12K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
The odds
- Yes61%▼ 6
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:44 AM2:44 PM2:44 AM61% Chance of Yes
The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.