Polymarket

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket give it a 98% chance. $600 traded in the last 24 hours, $520K in all.

Chance of Yes
98%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$600
Traded in all
$520K
Closes
January 1, 2027

The odds

  1. Yes98%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%11:47 AM11:47 PM11:47 AM98% Chance of Yes

The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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