Kalshi
Will the California Voter ID initiative pass?
In 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi give it a 29% chance. $396 traded in the last 24 hours, $22K in all.
- Chance of Yes
- 29%
- 24 hours
- down 5 pts
- Traded today
- $396
- Traded in all
- $22K
- Closes
- November 3, 2027
The odds
- Yes29%▼ 5
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%11:33 AM11:33 PM11:33 AM29% Chance of Yes
The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More more politics markets
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?December 31 3%
- Maine-Texas Senate ComboJames Talarico and Troy Jackson 45%
- How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?230-233 18%
- USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?December 31 74%
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?October 5 98%
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)Above 150 96%
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?Christopher Luxon 46%
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?Above 52 35%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
