Kalshi
Will the carried interest loophole be closed?
legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests)
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 1, 2030 at 51%, ahead of Before Jan 1, 2029 at 26%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $312 in all.
- Favorite
- Before Jan 1, 2030 51%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $312
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome
- Before Jan 1, 203051%
- Before Jan 1, 202926%
- Before Jan 1, 202818%
- Before Jan 1, 20275%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%1:16 PM1:16 AM1:16 PM51% Before Jan 1, 2030
The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 1, 2030. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
