Where does this market trade?

On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

Will the US acquire any new territory?

By 2029

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 21, 2029 at 22%, ahead of Before Jan 2028 at 17%. $24 traded in the last 24 hours, $346K in all.

Favorite: Before Jan 21, 2029 22%
24 hours: no change
Traded today: $24
Traded in all: $346K
Closes: January 1, 2027

Every outcome

Before Jan 21, 202922%
Before Jan 202817%
Before Jan 20275%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%9:12 AM9:12 PM9:12 AM22% Before Jan 21, 2029

The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 21, 2029. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.