Kalshi
Will Trump add a 51st state to the US?
Before Trump's term ends
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi give it a 14% chance. $15 traded in the last 24 hours, $87K in all.
- Chance of Yes
- 14%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $15
- Traded in all
- $87K
- Closes
- January 20, 2029
The odds
- Yes14%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:46 AM7:46 PM7:46 AM14% Chance of Yes
The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 42%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
