Kalshi
Will Trump declare an election emergency?
Executive action timing
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi give it a 14% chance. $4K traded in the last 24 hours, $223K in all.
- Chance of Yes
- 14%
- 24 hours
- down 2 pts
- Traded today
- $4K
- Traded in all
- $223K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
The odds
- Yes14%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:13 PM12:13 AM12:13 PM14% Chance of Yes
The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 79%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.5% 93%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 74%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?2%
- How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/5-10/11) 7 52%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
