Kalshi
Will Trump make a recess appointment?
During Trump's term
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 21, 2029 at 16%, ahead of Before Jan 1, 2028 at 11%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $8 in all.
- Favorite
- Before Jan 21, 2029 16%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $8
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome
- Before Jan 21, 202916%
- Before Jan 1, 202811%
- Before Jan 1, 20276%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:07 AM6:07 PM6:07 AM16% Before Jan 21, 2029
The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 21, 2029. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 31%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
