Polymarket
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor October 4 at more than 99%, ahead of October 5 at 97%. $2K traded in the last 24 hours, $24K in all.
- Favorite
- October 4 >99%
- 24 hours
- up 39 pts
- Traded today
- $2K
- Traded in all
- $24K
- Closes
- November 1, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 29)
- October 4>99%▲ 39
- October 597%▲ 2
- October 1493%▲ 1
- October 392%
- October 992%▲ 1
- October 2991%▲ 1
23 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:36 AM3:36 PM3:36 AM100% October 4
The line follows the current favorite, October 4. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 31%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
