Kalshi
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
During Trump's term
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 20, 2029 at 50%, ahead of Before 2027 at 10%. $42 traded in the last 24 hours, $32K in all.
- Favorite
- Before Jan 20, 2029 50%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $42
- Traded in all
- $32K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome
- Before Jan 20, 202950%
- Before 202710%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:15 AM5:15 PM5:15 AM50% Before Jan 20, 2029
The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 20, 2029. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 31%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
