Kalshi
Will Trump run for a third term?
2028 President of the United States race
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Election Day at 16%, ahead of Before 2028 at 11%. $46 traded in the last 24 hours, $152K in all.
- Favorite
- Before Election Day 16%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $46
- Traded in all
- $152K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome
- Before Election Day16%▲ 1
- Before 202811%
- Before 20275%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:33 AM3:33 PM3:33 AM16% Before Election Day
The line follows the current favorite, Before Election Day. One reading an hour.
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More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 31%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
