Kalshi
Will Trump try to fire Kevin Warsh?
Chair of the Federal Reserve
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 1, 2028 at 19%, ahead of Before Jul 1, 2027 at 12%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $26K in all.
- Favorite
- Before Jan 1, 2028 19%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $26K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome
- Before Jan 1, 202819%
- Before Jul 1, 202712%
- Before Jan 1, 20274%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:28 AM7:28 PM7:28 AM19% Before Jan 1, 2028
The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 1, 2028. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More trump and the white house markets
- Fed Decision in October?No change 84%
- Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 5, 2026?38.2% 41%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?5%
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Anna Kelly 21%
- Fed Decision in December?25 bps increase 72%
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?3%
- Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/4-10/10)160-179 22%
- Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh?Before Jan 1, 2027 36%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
