Daily market report
Election markets on Saturday, June 13, 2026
Republicans ended the day 56% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 80% to win the House; the biggest move was CA-35 (California), where Democratic odds went from 95% to 73%; 1 race changed favorites.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| CA-35 (California) | D 95% | D 73% | ▼ 21.4 |
| NJ-03 (New Jersey) | D 91% | D 71% | ▼ 20.1 |
| CA-25 (California) | D 91% | D 71% | ▼ 19.9 |
| IN-04 (Indiana) | D 10% | D 29% | ▲ 19.7 |
| NM-03 (New Mexico) | D 89% | D 70% | ▼ 19.7 |
| GA-07 (Georgia) | D 15% | D 32% | ▲ 17.7 |
| TX-31 (Texas) | D 15% | D 33% | ▲ 17.4 |
| TX-10 (Texas) | D 15% | D 33% | ▲ 17.2 |
| NC-03 (North Carolina) | D 14% | D 30% | ▲ 16.9 |
| FL-18 (Florida) | D 16% | D 33% | ▲ 16.8 |
Lead changes
- MT-01 (Montana)Democrat now favored: D 50% → 54%
