Daily market report
Election markets on Tuesday, July 7, 2026
Republicans ended the day 56% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 83% to win the House; the biggest move was NJ-02 (New Jersey), where Democratic odds went from 25% to 18%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| NJ-02 (New Jersey) | D 25% | D 18% | ▼ 7.1 |
| ME-01 (Maine) | D 98% | D 94% | ▼ 4.4 |
| Wyoming Governor | D 9% | D 5% | ▼ 4.0 |
| SC-01 (South Carolina) | D 27% | D 31% | ▲ 3.9 |
| KY-06 (Kentucky) | D 29% | D 33% | ▲ 3.8 |
| OH-07 (Ohio) | D 37% | D 40% | ▲ 3.4 |
| CA-14 (California) | D 94% | D 98% | ▲ 3.4 |
| WV-01 (West Virginia) | D 3% | D 6% | ▲ 3.4 |
| NY-02 (New York) | D 27% | D 23% | ▼ 3.3 |
| OH-09 (Ohio) | D 69% | D 65% | ▼ 3.2 |
