Daily market report
Election markets on Saturday, August 1, 2026
Republicans ended the day 55% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 85% to win the House; the biggest move was OH-07 (Ohio), where Democratic odds went from 61% to 56%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| OH-07 (Ohio) | D 61% | D 56% | ▼ 4.7 |
| NC-14 (North Carolina) | D 17% | D 14% | ▼ 3.3 |
| Alaska Senate | D 57% | D 54% | ▼ 2.9 |
| MD-01 (Maryland) | D 17% | D 14% | ▼ 2.8 |
| NY-24 (New York) | D 14% | D 11% | ▼ 2.8 |
| WA-04 (Washington) | D 14% | D 11% | ▼ 2.7 |
| WA-09 (Washington) | D 89% | D 91% | ▲ 2.5 |
| DE-AL (Delaware) | D 94% | D 96% | ▲ 2.5 |
| NC-10 (North Carolina) | D 10% | D 12% | ▲ 2.4 |
| Michigan Senate | D 68% | D 65% | ▼ 2.3 |
