Daily market report
Election markets on Sunday, August 2, 2026
Republicans ended the day 54% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 85% to win the House; the biggest move was OH-07 (Ohio), where Democratic odds went from 56% to 66%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| OH-07 (Ohio) | D 56% | D 66% | ▲ 9.8 |
| OH-09 (Ohio) | D 73% | D 68% | ▼ 4.9 |
| Wisconsin Governor | D 53% | D 49% | ▼ 4.0 |
| NE-01 (Nebraska) | D 13% | D 16% | ▲ 3.3 |
| Alaska Governor | D 37% | D 34% | ▼ 3.1 |
| MD-01 (Maryland) | D 14% | D 17% | ▲ 2.8 |
| WA-04 (Washington) | D 11% | D 14% | ▲ 2.7 |
| PA-17 (Pennsylvania) | D 88% | D 91% | ▲ 2.6 |
| CA-42 (California) | D 94% | D 96% | ▲ 2.6 |
| CA-02 (California) | D 94% | D 96% | ▲ 2.6 |
