Daily market report
Election markets on Saturday, August 22, 2026
Republicans ended the day 52% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 86% to win the House; the biggest move was PA-01 (Pennsylvania), where Democratic odds went from 52% to 65%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PA-01 (Pennsylvania) | D 52% | D 65% | ▲ 12.5 |
| FL-13 (Florida) | D 24% | D 32% | ▲ 8.1 |
| CA-45 (California) | D 84% | D 89% | ▲ 4.8 |
| MI-04 (Michigan) | D 54% | D 50% | ▼ 3.8 |
| NY-21 (New York) | D 24% | D 28% | ▲ 3.5 |
| New Mexico Governor | D 91% | D 94% | ▲ 3.5 |
| TX-09 (Texas) | D 18% | D 14% | ▼ 3.5 |
| AZ-05 (Arizona) | D 12% | D 9% | ▼ 3.0 |
| WA-05 (Washington) | D 21% | D 24% | ▲ 2.9 |
| Vermont Governor | D 8% | D 11% | ▲ 2.7 |
