Daily market report
Election markets on Sunday, August 23, 2026
Republicans ended the day 52% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 87% to win the House (Democratic odds up 0.9 points); the biggest move was PA-01 (Pennsylvania), where Democratic odds went from 65% to 54%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| PA-01 (Pennsylvania) | D 65% | D 54% | ▼ 10.3 |
| WI-03 (Wisconsin) | D 70% | D 77% | ▲ 7.1 |
| FL-13 (Florida) | D 32% | D 25% | ▼ 6.8 |
| NY-03 (New York) | D 87% | D 92% | ▲ 5.3 |
| ME-02 (Maine) | D 36% | D 41% | ▲ 4.6 |
| MI-10 (Michigan) | D 69% | D 65% | ▼ 3.5 |
| NC-06 (North Carolina) | D 12% | D 9% | ▼ 3.0 |
| Alaska Senate | D 58% | D 61% | ▲ 2.8 |
| IN-01 (Indiana) | D 91% | D 88% | ▼ 2.3 |
| OH-01 (Ohio) | D 88% | D 90% | ▲ 2.1 |
