Daily market report
Election markets on Monday, August 24, 2026
Republicans ended the day 52% to win the Senate; Democrats ended the day 87% to win the House; the biggest move was FL-14 (Florida), where Democratic odds went from 60% to 73%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| FL-14 (Florida) | D 60% | D 73% | ▲ 13.4 |
| CO-03 (Colorado) | D 35% | D 45% | ▲ 10.7 |
| MI-10 (Michigan) | D 65% | D 71% | ▲ 5.7 |
| PA-01 (Pennsylvania) | D 54% | D 50% | ▼ 4.9 |
| SC-02 (South Carolina) | D 10% | D 6% | ▼ 3.9 |
| CA-45 (California) | D 89% | D 92% | ▲ 2.7 |
| Ohio Governor | D 51% | D 54% | ▲ 2.5 |
| IN-01 (Indiana) | D 88% | D 91% | ▲ 2.3 |
| TN-05 (Tennessee) | D 12% | D 11% | ▼ 1.9 |
| Michigan Senate | D 61% | D 59% | ▼ 1.9 |
