Daily market report
Election markets on Sunday, September 20, 2026
Democrats ended the day 60% to win the Senate (Democratic odds up 0.6 points) and 92% to win the House (Democratic odds up 1.9 points); the biggest move was AL-02 (Alabama), where Democratic odds went from 32% to 28%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| AL-02 (Alabama) | D 32% | D 28% | ▼ 4.1 |
| Alaska Governor | D 80% | D 84% | ▲ 3.6 |
| Georgia Governor | D 55% | D 59% | ▲ 3.5 |
| AZ-01 (Arizona) | D 73% | D 70% | ▼ 2.9 |
| MI-05 (Michigan) | D 3% | D 6% | ▲ 2.8 |
| RI-02 (Rhode Island) | D 97% | D 95% | ▼ 2.6 |
| TX-15 (Texas) | D 66% | D 68% | ▲ 2.0 |
| TX-32 (Texas) | D 15% | D 13% | ▼ 1.9 |
| CO-08 (Colorado) | D 81% | D 82% | ▲ 1.8 |
| IN-08 (Indiana) | D 3% | D 5% | ▲ 1.8 |
