Daily market report
Election markets on Sunday, September 27, 2026
Democrats ended the day 62% to win the Senate and 92% to win the House; the biggest move was VA-01 (Virginia), where Democratic odds went from 40% to 35%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| VA-01 (Virginia) | D 40% | D 35% | ▼ 5.6 |
| FL-27 (Florida) | D 36% | D 40% | ▲ 3.8 |
| AL-02 (Alabama) | D 29% | D 26% | ▼ 3.6 |
| Maine Senate | D 63% | D 59% | ▼ 3.4 |
| Iowa Governor | D 84% | D 87% | ▲ 3.0 |
| NJ-02 (New Jersey) | D 17% | D 20% | ▲ 2.9 |
| Texas Governor | D 22% | D 19% | ▼ 2.8 |
| NJ-07 (New Jersey) | D 85% | D 87% | ▲ 2.5 |
| MO-02 (Missouri) | D 30% | D 28% | ▼ 2.4 |
| Oregon Governor | D 85% | D 83% | ▼ 2.1 |
