Daily market report
Election markets on Saturday, September 26, 2026
Democrats ended the day 62% to win the Senate and 92% to win the House; the biggest move was CO-08 (Colorado), where Democratic odds went from 82% to 86%.
Kalshi and Polymarket, averaged · times in UTC days
Biggest moves
| Race | Start of day | End of day | Change (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| CO-08 (Colorado) | D 82% | D 86% | ▲ 3.5 |
| Vermont Governor | D 13% | D 16% | ▲ 3.2 |
| CA-01 (California) | D 97% | D 94% | ▼ 2.8 |
| FL-27 (Florida) | D 34% | D 36% | ▲ 2.2 |
| AZ-02 (Arizona) | D 38% | D 36% | ▼ 2.2 |
| Maine Senate | D 65% | D 63% | ▼ 2.1 |
| TX-15 (Texas) | D 73% | D 75% | ▲ 2.0 |
| Kansas Senate | D 32% | D 30% | ▼ 2.0 |
| FL-25 (Florida) | D 72% | D 74% | ▲ 2.0 |
| IL-17 (Illinois) | D 95% | D 97% | ▲ 2.0 |
