Kalshi
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Minority Leader?
In 2027
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor John Thune at 42%, ahead of Chuck Schumer at 39%. $4 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.
- Favorite
- John Thune 42%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $4
- Traded in all
- $11K
- Closes
- January 3, 2028
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- John Thune42%
- Chuck Schumer39%▲ 11
- Brian Schatz9%
- Chris Van Hollen5%
- John Barrasso5%
- Chris Murphy5%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:43 AM2:43 PM2:43 AM42% John Thune
The line follows the current favorite, John Thune. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More congress markets
- Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?December 31, 2028 25%
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?7%
- Will the SAVE Act become law?3%
- Will the Clarity Act become law?Before Jan 1, 2028 18%
- Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?Before Jan 21, 2029 33%
- Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?Florida 99%
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Raphael Warnock 12%
- Will the SAVE America Act become law?Before Jan 1, 2027 4%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
