Kalshi
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
Nov 7, 2028
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Democratic by 91 to 130 at 15%, ahead of Democratic by 61 to 90 at 14%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $7K in all.
- Favorite
- Democratic by 91 to 130 15%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $7K
- Closes
- May 6, 2029
Every outcome (top 6 of 14)
- Democratic by 91 to 13015%
- Democratic by 61 to 9014%
- Democratic by 31 to 6012%
- Democratic by 11 to 3010%
- Democratic by 1 to 1010%
- Democratic by 131 to 2107%
8 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:52 AM2:52 PM2:52 AM15% Democratic by 91 to 130
The line follows the current favorite, Democratic by 91 to 130. One reading an hour.
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More parties and 2028 markets
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- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 40%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 54%
- Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?Senate 54%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
