Kalshi
2028 Presidential matchup
2028
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance at 17%, ahead of AOC v. JD Vance at 10%. $2K traded in the last 24 hours, $302K in all.
- Favorite
- Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance 17%
- 24 hours
- up 2 pts
- Traded today
- $2K
- Traded in all
- $302K
- Closes
- November 7, 2028
Every outcome (top 6 of 16)
- Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance17%▲ 2
- AOC v. JD Vance10%
- AOC v. Marco Rubio8%▼ 14
- Jon Ossoff v. JD Vance8%▼ 4
- Jon Ossoff v. Marco Rubio6%
- Kamala Harris v. JD Vance6%
10 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:48 AM2:48 PM2:48 AM17% Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance
The line follows the current favorite, Gavin Newsom v. JD Vance. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More parties and 2028 markets
- How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?48 17%
- How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?Below 193 28%
- Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?↓ 7% 77%
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?Texas 37%
- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 40%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 54%
- Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?Senate 54%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
