Polymarket

Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 25-29 at 53%, ahead of 20-24 at 22%. $924 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.

Favorite
25-29 53%
24 hours
down 0 pts
Traded today
$924
Traded in all
$6K
Closes
November 1, 2026

Every outcome

  1. 25-2953%▼ 0
  2. 20-2422%▼ 1
  3. 30-3413%▼ 1
  4. <2012%▲ 6
  5. 35+<1%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%2:49 AM2:49 PM2:49 AM53% 25-29

The line follows the current favorite, 25-29. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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