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On Polymarket, a regulated prediction market (Polymarket). Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Polymarket

Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 25-29 at 92%, ahead of 30-34 at 5%. $1K traded in the last 24 hours, $59K in all.

Favorite: 25-29 92%
24 hours: down 2 pts
Traded today: $1K
Traded in all: $59K
Closes: October 1, 2026

Every outcome

25-2992%▼ 2
30-345%▲ 2
<253%
40+2%▼ 1
35-391%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%5:03 PM5:03 AM5:03 PM92% 25-29

The line follows the current favorite, 25-29. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.