Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Flavio Bolsonaro at 97%, ahead of Lula at 1%. $2K traded in the last 24 hours, $15K in all.
- Favorite
- Flavio Bolsonaro 97%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $2K
- Traded in all
- $15K
- Closes
- October 5, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 13)
- Flavio Bolsonaro97%▼ 1
- Lula1%
- Clariana Barao1%
- Pablo Marçal<1%
- Renan Santos<1%
- Ronaldo Caiado<1%
7 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:58 AM2:58 PM2:58 AM97% Flavio Bolsonaro
The line follows the current favorite, Flavio Bolsonaro. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
