Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Flávio Bolsonaro <4% at 61%, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8% at 25%. $4K traded in the last 24 hours, $4K in all.
- Favorite
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4% 61%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $4K
- Traded in all
- $4K
- Closes
- October 26, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%61%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%25%
- Lula da Silva <4%13%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+12%
- Lula da Silva 4-8%3%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%3%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:28 PM6:28 AM6:28 PM61% Flávio Bolsonaro <4%
The line follows the current favorite, Flávio Bolsonaro <4%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
