Kalshi

Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory

On Oct 25, 2026

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3% at 41%, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6% at 41%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $0 in all.

Favorite
Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3% 41%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$0
Closes
October 25, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%41%
  2. Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%41%
  3. Flávio Bolsonaro, 6-9%41%
  4. Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%41%
  5. Lula da Silva, 0-3%41%
  6. Lula da Silva, 3-6%41%

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:28 PM6:28 AM6:28 PM41% Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%

The line follows the current favorite, Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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