Kalshi

Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

On Oct 25, 2026

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Minas Gerais at 60%, ahead of Tocantins at 59%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $0 in all.

Favorite
Minas Gerais 60%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$0
Closes
October 25, 2027

Every outcome

  1. Minas Gerais60%
  2. Tocantins59%
  3. Amapá50%
  4. Amazonas50%
  5. Pará41%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:28 PM6:28 AM6:28 PM60% Minas Gerais

The line follows the current favorite, Minas Gerais. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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