Polymarket

Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

As of October 6, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Celina 10-15% at 28%, ahead of Celina 25%+ at 15%. $752 traded in the last 24 hours, $752 in all.

Favorite
Celina 10-15% 28%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$752
Traded in all
$752
Closes
October 26, 2026

Every outcome

  1. Celina 10-15%28%
  2. Celina 25%+15%
  3. Celina 20-25%14%
  4. Grass wins11%
  5. Celina 15-20%8%
  6. Celina <10%7%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%3:10 PM3:10 AM3:10 PM28% Celina 10-15%

The line follows the current favorite, Celina 10-15%. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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