Polymarket
Federal District Senate Election: 1st Place
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Michelle Bolsonaro at 96%, ahead of Bia Kicis at 4%. $5K traded in the last 24 hours, $64K in all.
- Favorite
- Michelle Bolsonaro 96%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $5K
- Traded in all
- $64K
- Closes
- October 5, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 13)
- Michelle Bolsonaro96%▲ 1
- Bia Kicis4%
- Avenir Rosa<1%
- David Horn<1%
- Erika Kokay<1%
- Guto Felício dos Santos<1%
7 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:35 AM4:35 PM4:35 AM96% Michelle Bolsonaro
The line follows the current favorite, Michelle Bolsonaro. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More world politics markets
- Brazil Presidential ElectionFlávio Bolsonaro 81%
- Brazil Presidential election winner?Flávio Bolsonaro 82%
- Brazil presidential election: first round winner?Flávio Bolsonaro >99%
- Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen 45%
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot 46%
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryFlávio Bolsonaro <5% >99%
- 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winnerSudan’s Emergency Response Rooms 14%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 31 73%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
