Kalshi
French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?
in 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Raphaël Glucksmann at 86%, ahead of Olivier Faure at 10%. $4 traded in the last 24 hours, $17K in all.
- Favorite
- Raphaël Glucksmann 86%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $4
- Traded in all
- $17K
- Closes
- October 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 7)
- Raphaël Glucksmann86%
- Olivier Faure10%
- Boris Vallaud4%
- Bernard Cazeneuve2%
- Jérôme Guedj2%
- Philippe Brun2%
1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:50 AM7:50 PM7:50 AM86% Raphaël Glucksmann
The line follows the current favorite, Raphaël Glucksmann. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
