Polymarket
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor December 31, 2026 at 8%, ahead of November 30, 2026 at 4%. $7K traded in the last 24 hours, $2.8M in all.
- Favorite
- December 31, 2026 8%
- 24 hours
- down 1 pts
- Traded today
- $7K
- Traded in all
- $2.8M
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome
- December 31, 20268%▼ 1
- November 30, 20264%
- October 31, 20262%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:52 AM2:52 PM2:52 AM8% December 31, 2026
The line follows the current favorite, December 31, 2026. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More world politics markets
- Brazil Presidential ElectionFlávio Bolsonaro 82%
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd PlaceTarcisio de Freitas <1%
- Brazil Presidential election winner?Flávio Bolsonaro 84%
- Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen 45%
- Brazil presidential election: first round winner?Flávio Bolsonaro >99%
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd PlaceAugusto Cury >99%
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot 47%
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryFlávio Bolsonaro <5% >99%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
